「TVSpot purchasing cost trend in 2013 1st half and its trend forecast by SPIIndex in the near future」
SPI, which encourages “optimizing marketing ROI” and “achieving its transparency / accountability”, analyzed TVSpot cost trends in the latest Japanese market.
It was concluded that:
1, Same level as 2012 during 2013 1st half
2, Same level or slight inflation in 2013 2nd half forecasted, and clear inflation was forecasted for 2014
However, there were huge differences in advertisers, and this gap will expanded further.
The details are as below:
1, TVSpot purchasing cost trends in 2013 1sthalf
…Same level as 2012 during 2013 1st half, however, there were huge differences in advertisers
■The SPI Index trend = TVSpot cost benchmark (Market average) in Japanese market
However, huge differences can be seen in advertisers, especially regarding Actual (=GRP achievement) performance.
This gap originates from differences in knowledge, monitoring systems, negotiation power and the usage / non usage of third party Media-audits for each advertiser.
2, TVSpot purchasing cost trend in the near future forecast by SPI Index
…According to the forecast, the same level or a slightly inflated level will be maintained in the latter half of 2013, and there will be clear inflation during 2014
…Gap between advertisers will expanded further
This forecast is due to the correlation-analysis between *TOPIX and **SPIIndex by SPI.
*Tokyo Stock Price Index (東証株価指数), commonly known as TOPIX, along with the Nikkei 225, are important stock market indexes for the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) in Japan, tracking all domestic companies of the exchange's First Section. It is calculated and published by the TSE. As of 1 February 2011, there were 1,669 companies listed in the First Section of the TSE, and the market value for the index at the time was \197.4 trillion.
**SPIIndex is the TVSpot cost benchmark (Market average) in the Japanese market, calculated by SPI (methodology to be detailed later).
●SPI Index Forecast analysis from the correlation-analysis between TOPIX and SPI Index by SPI
●What is the “SPI Index” for Cost Analysis ?
・Definition of SPIIndex
SPIIndex-basecost(=All advertiser’s average) ＝ Total TVSpot sales ÷ Total TVSpot GRP
・2nd step= Adjusting “SPIIndex-basecost” for each Spot-buying condition by “SPI’s datapool”
SPIIndex-basecost×SPI-adjustmentINDEX(due to SPI-datapool from Y1995/over100advertisers & 1,000cases)
SPIIndex（TVSpot cost benchmark for each TVSpot buying condition）
●SPI Index forecast, Methodology
Please contact us with questions or for more detailed information.